EUR/USD Under 1.13862 with Follow-Through Watch

Research preview

Risk And Invalidation Risk remains level-led. The invalidation level matters more than the headline bias; reduce size around data releases and avoid treating the first reaction as confirmation without a retest. EUR/USD News And Catalyst Brief The story across the linked headlines is concentrated around inflation and central-bank policy. EUR/USD is not getting a clean directional push from the headlines; the bias is neutral-to-range until the next candle confirms acceptance above resistance or below support. That makes the technical map more important, not less important, because price still has to confirm the macro story. Fed decision: what to watch the fed is expected to keep rates at 3.5%-3.75%, but markets...