USD/INR Surge to Four‑Month High: Implications for Quantitative Traders
Research preview
The Indian rupee’s recent rally against the U.S. dollar has pushed the USD/INR rate to a four‑month peak. This move offers a timely case study for applying core finance theory to currency‑based trading strategies. Below we explore the drivers behind the spike, the relevant theoretical tools, and practical steps to incorporate the event into a quantitative framework. Market Context and Recent Move The USD/INR pair climbed to a level not seen in the past four months, reflecting a confluence of macro and micro factors. On the demand side, stronger U.S. economic data and a resilient dollar index have lifted the dollar globally....
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