Will light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

34.8%YES

1 hour−0.1 pts

24 hours−7.7 pts

Posted7 Nov 2026, 18:06 UTC

Snapshots19

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES34.8% now

Now34.8%

History high45.5%

History low5.1%

Last update10 Nov, 11:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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