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Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?

12.3%YES
1 hour+2.8 pts
24 hours−11.0 pts
Posted1 Nov 2026, 20:06 UTC
Snapshots254
Odds history — market-implied probability of YES12.3% now
5%13%21%28%36%2 Nov12 Nov 05:00 UTC
Now12.3%
History high52.1%
History low3.8%
Last update12 Nov, 05:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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