S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 28?

0.9%YES

1 hour−0.3 pts

24 hours−35.2 pts

Posted27 Sep 2026, 07:08 UTC

Snapshots52

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES0.9% now

Now0.9%

History high39.0%

History low0.6%

Last update28 Sep, 19:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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