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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

19.5%YES
1 hour−49.5 pts
24 hours—
Posted1 Oct 2026, 00:03 UTC
Snapshots4
Odds history — market-implied probability of YES19.5% now
18%32%47%61%76%30 Sep1 Oct 00:00 UTC
Now19.5%
History high73.5%
History low19.5%
Last update1 Oct, 00:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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