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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October?

100.0%YES
1 hour+0.0 pts
24 hours+59.0 pts
Posted3 Oct 2026, 10:04 UTC
Snapshots139
Odds history — market-implied probability of YES100.0% now
31%48%65%83%100%5 Oct15 Oct 21:00 UTC
Now100.0%
History high100.0%
History low32.5%
Last update15 Oct, 21:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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