Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?

100.0%YES

1 hour+1.5 pts

24 hours+43.0 pts

Posted19 Oct 2026, 22:03 UTC

Snapshots186

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES100.0% now

Now100.0%

History high100.0%

History low25.0%

Last update22 Oct, 21:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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