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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October?

100.0%YES
1 hour+4.0 pts
24 hours+56.0 pts
Posted3 Oct 2026, 04:04 UTC
Snapshots186
Odds history — market-implied probability of YES100.0% now
13%35%57%78%100%12 Oct22 Oct 21:00 UTC
Now100.0%
History high100.0%
History low13.5%
Last update22 Oct, 21:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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