Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.92% in October?

44.0%YES

1 hour−5.0 pts

24 hours−15.0 pts

Posted3 Oct 2026, 03:04 UTC

Snapshots63

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES44.0% now

Now44.0%

History high67.5%

History low36.5%

Last update6 Oct, 16:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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