S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on October 5?

46.0%YES

1 hour+45.6 pts

24 hours+44.5 pts

Posted5 Oct 2026, 19:03 UTC

Snapshots52

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES46.0% now

Now46.0%

History high46.0%

History low0.5%

Last update5 Oct, 19:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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