S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 5?

96.5%YES

1 hour+0.5 pts

24 hours−3.3 pts

Posted5 Oct 2026, 16:02 UTC

Snapshots52

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES96.5% now

Now96.5%

History high99.8%

History low51.3%

Last update5 Oct, 19:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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