S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?

6.0%YES

1 hour−13.5 pts

24 hours−59.5 pts

Posted12 Oct 2026, 17:03 UTC

Snapshots28

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES6.0% now

Now6.0%

History high79.0%

History low6.0%

Last update12 Oct, 19:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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