S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 12?

98.4%YES

1 hour−0.1 pts

24 hours—

Posted12 Nov 2026, 09:04 UTC

Snapshots13

Odds history — market-implied probability of YES98.4% now

Now98.4%

History high98.4%

History low50.1%

Last update12 Nov, 12:00

Odds = implied probability of YES, recorded hourly. Points measure probability, not price.

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