Rising Rupee Hedging Costs Signal Shifts in USD/INR Forward Markets

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Rising Rupee Hedging Costs Signal Shifts in USD/INR Forward Markets

Research preview

The 1‑year forward premium on the USD/INR pair has climbed to 3.50%, the highest level in four months since May. This surge reflects growing hedging pressures and changing expectations for the Indian rupee. Understanding why the premium is rising, how it affects trading strategies, and what quantitative traders can do next is essential for anyone dealing with emerging‑market FX risk. Why Forward Premiums Matter A forward premium is the difference between the forward exchange rate and the spot rate, expressed as an annualized percentage....

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