Research preview

The cease‑fire that began on October 10 2025 marked a tentative end to two years of combat in Gaza, yet the path to stable governance and funded reconstruction remains uncertain. For quantitative traders, this environment creates a unique set of risk‑adjusted opportunities that can be approached with disciplined, data‑driven methods. Understanding the Macro Landscape The cessation of hostilities reduces immediate geopolitical risk, but lingering political instability and a funding gap for rebuilding keep the region in a high‑uncertainty regime. Traditional macro models that rely on stable policy environments must be adjusted to incorporate a broader variance in sovereign risk premia, aid flow volatility, and the potential for sudden policy shifts....