Research preview

The Indian rupee’s surge to a record level against the U.S. dollar has caught the attention of traders and corporate treasury teams alike. While headline‑making moves are often viewed through a speculative lens, the underlying risk‑management discipline used by operating companies provides a systematic way to evaluate exposure, size positions, and protect capital. This article translates those corporate tools into a quantitative trading framework that can be applied to the USD/INR breakout. Understanding the Currency Move A new all‑time high for USD/INR signals a strong appreciation of the rupee relative to the dollar. The drivers are typically a mix of macroeconomic data, policy shifts, and capital flow dynamics....